Who's betting on “Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?”?
Finance · $636K volume · Ends January 2, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $636K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 2, 2027.
52% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points. A week ago, No by 27 points.
159 wallets hold a position worth $369 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 159 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x7777…67f0, with $9 on it, $93 lifetime loss over 80 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is wokerjoesleeper, with $174 on it, $592K lifetime profit over 1,074 markets (92% won).
- Smart money share
- 52%
- Holders
- 144
- Money on it
- $83
- Holders' winrate
- 43%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 80%
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $287
- Holders' winrate
- 89%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x7777…67f0 | $9 | -$93 | 50% of 80 |
| e46m3whale | $7 | +$1.1M | 47% of 73,977 |
| tetrosewhale | $6 | +$210K | 55% of 565 |
| 0x5016…017d | $6 | -$427 | 31% of 236 |
| balthazarwhale | $4 | +$1.2M | 53% of 44,054 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| wokerjoesleeperwhale | $174 | +$592K | 92% of 1,074 |
| FlashTradeOracleTester | $47 | -$3.0K | 88% of 243 |
| marli9 | $30 | +$3 | 93% of 43 |
| thatscool | $10 | -$15K | 99% of 143 |
| nilgfbalanced | $6 | +$168 | 92% of 65 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.1M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?"?
159 wallets hold a position worth $369 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 159 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x7777…67f0, with $9 on it, $93 lifetime loss over 80 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is wokerjoesleeper, with $174 on it, $592K lifetime profit over 1,074 markets (92% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $636K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 2, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
52% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points. A week ago, No by 27 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 2, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.