Who's betting on “Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?”?
Finance · $1.4M volume · Ends January 2, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 27¢ and No at 73¢, a 73% implied chance of No. $1.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 2, 2027.
88% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 10 points.
688 wallets hold a position worth $261K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 688 of them. The largest Yes holder is occasionalAwareness, with $25K on it, $1.1M lifetime profit over 1,003 markets (63% won). The largest No holder is TheReturnOfDarthMaul, with $102K on it, $1.6M lifetime profit over 1,014 markets (60% won).
- Smart money share
- 88%
- Holders
- 429
- Money on it
- $103K
- Holders' winrate
- 63%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 97%
- Holders
- 259
- Money on it
- $158K
- Holders' winrate
- 68%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| occasionalAwarenesswhale | $25K | +$1.1M | 63% of 1,003 |
| 0xffBbF885454E6930e54b720ad5224175b8AE36e9-1720913580384 | $25K | +$46K | 67% of 9 |
| Nooseracwhale | $5.4K | +$1.3M | 57% of 2,835 |
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465whale | $5.0K | +$3.2M | 44% of 5,518 |
| ThanksGivingTurkey1001whale | $3.4K | +$39K | 68% of 422 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaulwhale | $102K | +$1.6M | 60% of 1,014 |
| BMM-1balanced | $32K | +$37K | 95% of 20 |
| 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876whale | $7.3K | +$29K | 65% of 279 |
| 0x963137a0BA0B02EBf6F37710023Cc1B0303289A1-1764031525036whale | $3.9K | +$65K | 82% of 309 |
| iForgorwhale | $2.9K | +$19K | 46% of 271 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- SpaceX$1.0M vol.Yes 67%No 33%Smart money: Yes
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- SHEIN$636K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Databricks$629K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- OpenAI$589K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Waymo$345K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- ByteDance$223K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Discord$204K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Stripe$173K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Perplexity AI$134K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.1M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?"?
688 wallets hold a position worth $261K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 688 of them. The largest Yes holder is occasionalAwareness, with $25K on it, $1.1M lifetime profit over 1,003 markets (63% won). The largest No holder is TheReturnOfDarthMaul, with $102K on it, $1.6M lifetime profit over 1,014 markets (60% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 27¢ and No at 73¢, a 73% implied chance of No. $1.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 2, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
88% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 10 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 2, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.