Who's betting on “Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?”?
Finance · $223K volume · Ends December 31, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $223K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
51% of the money on Yes and 24% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 26 points. A week ago, Yes by 28 points.
175 wallets hold a position worth $165 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 175 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x2d89…ac9e, with $9 on it, $153 lifetime loss over 6 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is FlashTradeOracleTester, with $47 on it, $3.0K lifetime loss over 243 markets (88% won).
- Smart money share
- 51%
- Holders
- 159
- Money on it
- $82
- Holders' winrate
- 49%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 24%
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $82
- Holders' winrate
- 80%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2d89…ac9e | $9 | -$153 | 100% of 6 |
| e46m3whale | $7 | +$1.1M | 47% of 73,977 |
| StrangeFriends | $6 | -$26 | 100% of 3 |
| freedomjijin | $5 | +$180 | 0% of 1 |
| balthazarwhale | $4 | +$1.2M | 53% of 44,054 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| FlashTradeOracleTester | $47 | -$3.0K | 88% of 243 |
| wumei | $8 | -$380 | 58% of 19 |
| weiguo0 | $8 | +$274 | 80% of 10 |
| Samec | $5 | -$45 | 57% of 51 |
| uiyguiybalanced | $5 | +$856 | 84% of 153 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
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- Perplexity AI$134K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.1M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
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- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?"?
175 wallets hold a position worth $165 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 175 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x2d89…ac9e, with $9 on it, $153 lifetime loss over 6 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is FlashTradeOracleTester, with $47 on it, $3.0K lifetime loss over 243 markets (88% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $223K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
51% of the money on Yes and 24% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 26 points. A week ago, Yes by 28 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.