Who's betting on “Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 17 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.4K by 52 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 86% 28 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 70% 23 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 31¢ and No at 70¢, a 70% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on June 30, 2027.
The smart money
86% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points.
Who holds it
52 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is AiBird, with $93 on it, $122K lifetime profit over 1,279 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is paddaa, with $882 on it, $288K lifetime profit over 1,507 markets (58% won).
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $721
- Holders' win rate
- 45%
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $1.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$721 on it
- 1AiBird57% won of 1,279 · whale$93+$122K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$92+$255K lifetime
- 3acc4202049% won of 865 · whale$91+$12K lifetime
- 4Kiara-pablo28% won of 29$79+$41 lifetime
- 50x6EAD18ED0A6dd44425E26Db30dB9eb5a28A914F8-177282385276862% won of 210 · balanced$74+$1.2K lifetime
No$1.6K on it
- 1paddaa58% won of 1,507 · whale$882+$288K lifetime
- 2HolyMoses753% won of 1,503 · whale$210+$179K lifetime
- 3GotGreenWood62% won of 1,052$206−$5.7K lifetime
- 4lissartter56% won of 2,997$134−$287K lifetime
- 5televisionloud42% won of 15,345$42−$18K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?
7 more- Ra'am$31K vol.Yes 23%No 77%Smart money: Yes
- Likud$22K vol.Yes 36%No 65%Smart money: No
- United Torah Judaism$19K vol.Yes 23%No 78%Smart money: Yes
- Yashar$15K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money: No
- Noam$15K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Otzma Yehudit$14K vol.Yes 25%No 76%Smart money split
- RZP-Zehut$14K vol.Yes 41%No 60%Smart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?"?
52 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is AiBird, with $93 on it, $122K lifetime profit over 1,279 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is paddaa, with $882 on it, $288K lifetime profit over 1,507 markets (58% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 31¢ and No at 70¢, a 70% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on June 30, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on June 30, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.