Who's betting on “Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 76% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 7 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $19K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.7K by 71 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 76% 36 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 69% 35 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
The smart money
76% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points. A week ago, Yes by 20 points.
Who holds it
71 wallets hold a position worth $3.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 71 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $871 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,242 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is dips., with $0 on it, $14K lifetime profit over 26,597 markets (47% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on No.
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $3.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $1
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Snipers
- 1 · $0
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.7K on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,242 · whale$871+$203K lifetime
- 2Rr5572% won of 1,222 · whale$683+$39K lifetime
- 3laolumanjuuma100% won of 2,187$387−$2.0K lifetime
- 4TheBasementView100% won of 2$379+$204 lifetime
- 5tbyck98% won of 1,099 · balanced$372+$2.7K lifetime
No$1 on it
- 1dips.47% won of 26,597 · whale$0+$14K lifetime
- 2johnashbough60% won of 858 · balanced$0+$3.9K lifetime
- 3FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$0+$244K lifetime
- 4tradetosurvive145% won of 25,346$0−$217K lifetime
- 5a553345% won of 284,537$0−$11K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?"?
71 wallets hold a position worth $3.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 71 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $871 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,242 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is dips., with $0 on it, $14K lifetime profit over 26,597 markets (47% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
76% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points. A week ago, Yes by 20 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.