Who's betting on “Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?”?
Politics · $158K volume · Ends July 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 41¢ and No at 60¢, a 60% implied chance of No. $158K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
97% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 5 points. A week ago, Yes by 13 points.
157 wallets hold a position worth $27K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 157 of them. The largest Yes holder is ImJustKen, with $6.3K on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,065 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is Parz1vaI, with $7.2K on it, $817K lifetime profit over 1,198 markets (72% won).
- Smart money share
- 97%
- Holders
- 73
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' winrate
- 61%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 90% ▼ 1 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 84
- Money on it
- $16K
- Holders' winrate
- 67%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| ImJustKenwhale | $6.3K | +$2.3M | 65% of 1,065 |
| GrokEnjoyerwhale | $900 | +$13K | 52% of 845 |
| AlphaBetaGamma2357whale | $810 | +$71K | 50% of 232 |
| realbengvirwhale | $643 | +$47K | 62% of 37 |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedwhale | $404 | +$154K | 56% of 13,103 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
- December 31$1.1M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: No
- September 30$1.5M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Who's betting on Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?"?
157 wallets hold a position worth $27K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 157 of them. The largest Yes holder is ImJustKen, with $6.3K on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,065 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is Parz1vaI, with $7.2K on it, $817K lifetime profit over 1,198 markets (72% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 41¢ and No at 60¢, a 60% implied chance of No. $158K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
97% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 5 points. A week ago, Yes by 13 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.