Who's betting on “Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $12K by 59 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 94% 39 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 97% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
94% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 6 points.
Who holds it
59 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is tsihkodiives, with $1.1K on it, $62K lifetime profit over 493 markets (82% won). The largest No holder is CompulsiveGambler, with $8.1K on it, $74K lifetime profit over 1,049 markets (69% won).
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 78%
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.4K on it
- 1tsihkodiives82% won of 493 · whale$1.1K+$62K lifetime
- 2leCommissaire55% won of 453 · whale$52+$104K lifetime
- 30xeE8aef5aDC04FFb8Cb3417233389473246BDf0b0-177325492910448% won of 109$33−$4.0K lifetime
- 4VytautasBaltus25% won of 134$23−$411 lifetime
- 5rexcom55% won of 415 · balanced$22+$11K lifetime
No$11K on it
- 1CompulsiveGambler69% won of 1,049 · whale$8.1K+$74K lifetime
- 2Dafri22028686% won of 35 · balanced$655+$747 lifetime
- 3Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,134 · whale$620+$570 lifetime
- 40x91c3…409f45% won of 432$434+$9.1K lifetime
- 5pykue56% won of 936$308−$18K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?"?
59 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is tsihkodiives, with $1.1K on it, $62K lifetime profit over 493 markets (82% won). The largest No holder is CompulsiveGambler, with $8.1K on it, $74K lifetime profit over 1,049 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
94% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.