Who's betting on “Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 20 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $131K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.1K by 70 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 73% 21 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 94% 49 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $131K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
73% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points. A week ago, No by 20 points.
Who holds it
70 wallets hold a position worth $6.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is Chia, with $157 on it, $544K lifetime profit over 44 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is tradervader, with $2.6K on it, $6.0K lifetime profit over 169 markets (67% won).
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $261
- Holders' win rate
- 40%
- Holders
- 49
- Money on it
- $5.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$261 on it
- 1Chia36% won of 44 · outlier$157+$544K lifetime
- 20x287b…6a1656% won of 16$27−$58 lifetime
- 30xeE8aef5aDC04FFb8Cb3417233389473246BDf0b0-177325492910448% won of 109$15−$4.0K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,230 · noise$14+$254K lifetime
- 5Magnificat100% won of 1$11+$5 lifetime
No$5.9K on it
- 1tradervader67% won of 169 · balanced$2.6K+$6.0K lifetime
- 2DumbOracle75% won of 263 · balanced$1.0K+$4.6K lifetime
- 3AuthenticDemigod68% won of 207 · balanced$453+$3.9K lifetime
- 4zeri1596% won of 24$337+$49 lifetime
- 50xde6a…ec4e44% won of 9$241+$260 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?"?
70 wallets hold a position worth $6.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is Chia, with $157 on it, $544K lifetime profit over 44 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is tradervader, with $2.6K on it, $6.0K lifetime profit over 169 markets (67% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $131K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
73% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points. A week ago, No by 20 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.