Who's betting on “Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 49% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 10 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $27K traded all time
- Held now
- $568 by 30 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 39% 17 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 49% 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
39% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 10 points.
Who holds it
30 wallets hold a position worth $568 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 30 of them. The largest Yes holder is BeQuiet94, with $6 on it, $38 lifetime loss over 3 markets (0% won). The largest No holder is bifurcatio, with $202 on it, $3.5K lifetime profit over 117 markets (77% won).
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $32
- Holders' win rate
- 40%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $536
- Holders' win rate
- 78%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$32 on it
- 1BeQuiet940% won of 3$6−$38 lifetime
- 2thecaricature44% won of 717$5−$7.9K lifetime
- 3Oklmntrader13% won of 577$5−$173K lifetime
- 4Numitus199449% won of 15,786$3−$28K lifetime
- 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,917 · noise$3+$28K lifetime
No$536 on it
- 1bifurcatio77% won of 117 · balanced$202+$3.5K lifetime
- 2DoubleAgentKrasnov84% won of 218 · balanced$129+$5.1K lifetime
- 3DImmanuel7463573% won of 45$59−$873 lifetime
- 4DumbOracle75% won of 263 · balanced$49+$4.6K lifetime
- 5SamuelZaur943979% won of 43 · balanced$42+$955 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?"?
30 wallets hold a position worth $568 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 30 of them. The largest Yes holder is BeQuiet94, with $6 on it, $38 lifetime loss over 3 markets (0% won). The largest No holder is bifurcatio, with $202 on it, $3.5K lifetime profit over 117 markets (77% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
39% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 10 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.