Who's betting on “Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 82% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 65 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $72K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.3K by 90 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 17% 39 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 82% 51 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 17¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $72K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
17% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 65 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 65 points. A week ago, No by 49 points.
Who holds it
90 wallets hold a position worth $5.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 90 of them. The largest Yes holder is br3ty, with $162 on it, $2.5K lifetime loss over 28 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is jasonisanidiot, with $1.6K on it, $2.4K lifetime profit over 34 markets (62% won).
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $897
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
- Holders
- 51
- Money on it
- $4.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$897 on it
- 1br3ty43% won of 28$162−$2.5K lifetime
- 2sokil2357% won of 7$128−$320 lifetime
- 30x4aBeE67107D088dC525180C6F3fdEB5dfe9637b7-177927220375847% won of 91$90−$1.6K lifetime
- 40xF567Ca87AabaC59bF20EFdE8FC8e0d69Fc4c1402-177306057614447% won of 203$88−$391 lifetime
- 5Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$71−$377K lifetime
No$4.4K on it
- 1jasonisanidiot62% won of 34 · balanced$1.6K+$2.4K lifetime
- 20xA8868E0180062e41b3E784BCf8ccC327DA896555-177559992115771% won of 7$427+$114 lifetime
- 30xB7C185aF4c49541326bA71B4Bfe4844144fc675E-176480471451570% won of 149 · balanced$249+$7.9K lifetime
- 4CompulsiveGambler69% won of 1,049 · whale$247+$74K lifetime
- 50xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$245+$334K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?"?
90 wallets hold a position worth $5.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 90 of them. The largest Yes holder is br3ty, with $162 on it, $2.5K lifetime loss over 28 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is jasonisanidiot, with $1.6K on it, $2.4K lifetime profit over 34 markets (62% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 17¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $72K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
17% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 65 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 65 points. A week ago, No by 49 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.