Who's betting on “Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 14 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $27K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.1K by 59 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 90% 25 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 75% 34 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 99¢ and No at 1¢, a 99% implied chance of Yes. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
90% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 51 points.
Who holds it
59 wallets hold a position worth $5.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is nicoco89, with $3.5K on it, $121K lifetime profit over 1,030 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is singularityman, with $13 on it, $78K lifetime profit over 360 markets (76% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on Yes; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $13 on No.
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $5.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 1 · $0
- Holders
- 34
- Money on it
- $32
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Snipers
- 1 · $13
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.1K on it
- 1nicoco8965% won of 1,030 · whale$3.5K+$121K lifetime
- 2Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,136 · whale$508+$560 lifetime
- 3ABC1234565432148% won of 6,025$331−$1.3K lifetime
- 4EsperanzasDESTROYER75% won of 204 · balanced$297+$38K lifetime
- 5sweetj64% won of 487 · whale$146+$11K lifetime
No$32 on it
- 1singularityman76% won of 360 · sniper$13+$78K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,511 · noise$3+$254K lifetime
- 3ViscaElBarca1% won of 12,734$2−$65K lifetime
- 4qqqppp-l138% won of 7,231 · noise$2+$10K lifetime
- 5donthackme29% won of 87,178 · noise$2+$829K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?"?
59 wallets hold a position worth $5.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is nicoco89, with $3.5K on it, $121K lifetime profit over 1,030 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is singularityman, with $13 on it, $78K lifetime profit over 360 markets (76% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 99¢ and No at 1¢, a 99% implied chance of Yes. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
90% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 51 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.