Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will Republicans win white women in the midterms?”?

Politics$28K traded70 holdersEnds November 7, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
24%Yes
77%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 79% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 8 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$28K
traded all time
Held now
$1.9K
by 70 wallets
Smart share · Yes
71%
39 scored holders
Smart share · No
79%
31 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 24¢ and No at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 7, 2026.

The smart money

71% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 23 points. A week ago, Yes by 31 points.

Who holds it

70 wallets hold a position worth $1.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is sweetj, with $333 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 487 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is smellyEllie, with $424 on it, $106K lifetime profit over 1,984 markets (50% won).

Yes24%
Smart money share71% ▼ 9 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 83%a day ago 81%now 71%
Holders
39
Money on it
$947
Holders' win rate
63%
No77%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share79% ▲ 21 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 51%a day ago 58%now 79%
Holders
31
Money on it
$989
Holders' win rate
52%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$947 on it

  1. 1sweetj64% won of 487 · whale$333+$11K lifetime
  2. 2FishHunter67% won of 135 · balanced$109+$1.8K lifetime
  3. 3ItsRigg3d68% won of 96 · balanced$108+$722 lifetime
  4. 4riitmo62% won of 481$83−$6.0K lifetime
  5. 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$61+$255K lifetime

No$989 on it

  1. 1smellyEllie50% won of 1,984 · whale$424+$106K lifetime
  2. 2CompulsiveGambler69% won of 1,049 · whale$136+$74K lifetime
  3. 3JoGold70% won of 251$95−$103 lifetime
  4. 4donthackme29% won of 86,904 · noise$84+$829K lifetime
  5. 5tradetosurvive145% won of 25,331$54−$217K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

More markets in Which party will win white women in the midterms?

1 more
Who's betting on Which party will win white women in the midterms? →

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will Republicans win white women in the midterms?"?

70 wallets hold a position worth $1.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is sweetj, with $333 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 487 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is smellyEllie, with $424 on it, $106K lifetime profit over 1,984 markets (50% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Republicans win white women in the midterms?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 24¢ and No at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 7, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

71% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 23 points. A week ago, Yes by 31 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 7, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.