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Who's betting on “Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?”?

Politics$32K traded69 holdersEnds November 7, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
94%Yes🧠 smart money
6%No

Smart money leans Yes: 96% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 52 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$32K
traded all time
Held now
$10K
by 69 wallets
Smart share · Yes
96%
27 scored holders
Smart share · No
44%
41 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 94¢ and No at 6¢, a 94% implied chance of Yes. $32K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 7, 2026.

The smart money

96% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 52 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 54 points. A week ago, Yes by 61 points.

Who holds it

69 wallets hold a position worth $10K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them. The largest Yes holder is Stonktrader, with $8.1K on it, $98K lifetime profit over 247 markets (94% won). The largest No holder is 74-75, with $158 on it, $2.5K lifetime loss over 94 markets (41% won).

Yes94%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share96%
7 days ago 96%a day ago 96%now 96%
Holders
27
Money on it
$9.7K
Holders' win rate
90%
No6%
Smart money share44% ▲ 2 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 36%a day ago 42%now 44%
Holders
42
Money on it
$439
Holders' win rate
43%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$9.7K on it

  1. 1Stonktrader94% won of 247 · whale$8.1K+$98K lifetime
  2. 2DerDon56% won of 1,234 · whale$470+$95K lifetime
  3. 3El-popo95% won of 237 · grinder$260+$308 lifetime
  4. 4sweetj64% won of 487 · whale$216+$11K lifetime
  5. 5Inchoroi65% won of 286$173−$21K lifetime

No$439 on it

  1. 174-7541% won of 94$158−$2.5K lifetime
  2. 2vinii64% won of 1,915 · whale$68+$170K lifetime
  3. 3longdated-poli4% won of 3,609$40−$64K lifetime
  4. 4CompulsiveGambler69% won of 1,049 · whale$27+$74K lifetime
  5. 5MARW-2026-Piotr54% won of 164 · balanced$18+$68 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?"?

69 wallets hold a position worth $10K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them. The largest Yes holder is Stonktrader, with $8.1K on it, $98K lifetime profit over 247 markets (94% won). The largest No holder is 74-75, with $158 on it, $2.5K lifetime loss over 94 markets (41% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 94¢ and No at 6¢, a 94% implied chance of Yes. $32K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 7, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

96% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 52 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 54 points. A week ago, Yes by 61 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 7, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.