Who's betting on “Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.3K by 56 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 38 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 18 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 46¢ and No at 54¢, a 54% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
56 wallets hold a position worth $6.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 56 of them. The largest Yes holder is 74-75, with $1.4K on it, $4.0K lifetime loss over 106 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is anciano, with $2.3K on it, $40K lifetime profit over 1,436 markets (50% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $428 on Yes.
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $2.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Snipers
- 1 · $428
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $3.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.9K on it
- 174-7541% won of 106$1.4K−$4.0K lifetime
- 2FrozenParasite71% won of 1,461 · sniper$428+$244K lifetime
- 3kostafun37% won of 121$244−$203 lifetime
- 4JAMJAMJAM497% won of 873 · whale$160+$89K lifetime
- 5AnonymousUsername70% won of 6,664 · whale$141+$459K lifetime
No$3.4K on it
- 1anciano50% won of 1,436 · whale$2.3K+$40K lifetime
- 2Addarash62% won of 399$491−$67K lifetime
- 3kenpaxtonpatriot59% won of 32 · balanced$255+$225 lifetime
- 4ImNotBetting23% won of 521 · noise$90+$1.3K lifetime
- 5LornaPredicts28% won of 19,814 · noise$66+$28K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?"?
56 wallets hold a position worth $6.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 56 of them. The largest Yes holder is 74-75, with $1.4K on it, $4.0K lifetime loss over 106 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is anciano, with $2.3K on it, $40K lifetime profit over 1,436 markets (50% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 46¢ and No at 54¢, a 54% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.