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Who's betting on “Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?”?

Politics$15K traded59 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated November 2, 2026
45%Yes
56%No

Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.

Volume
$15K
traded all time
Held now
$1.6K
by 59 wallets
Smart share · Yes
-
34 scored holders
Smart share · No
-
25 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 45¢ and No at 56¢, a 56% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

Who holds it

59 wallets hold a position worth $1.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is G.Hchen, with $356 on it, $21K lifetime profit over 249 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $124 on it, $271K lifetime profit over 142,870 markets (39% won).

Yes45%
Smart money share-
Holders
34
Money on it
$1.1K
Holders' win rate
62%
No56%
Smart money share-
Holders
25
Money on it
$522
Holders' win rate
49%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$1.1K on it

  1. 1G.Hchen43% won of 249 · noise$356+$21K lifetime
  2. 20x9687…1b7c85% won of 219 · grinder$142+$300 lifetime
  3. 3kenpaxtonpatriot59% won of 32 · balanced$141+$225 lifetime
  4. 4xiaoaojiang92% won of 77$116−$55 lifetime
  5. 5resilience2656% won of 3,509$106−$13K lifetime

No$522 on it

  1. 1xtxpleasecallme39% won of 142,870 · noise$124+$271K lifetime
  2. 20x7c14bDd7D62B9a7824C220EE39a9b58773F05783-177358738019574% won of 1,199$105−$33K lifetime
  3. 3pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 11,687$62−$321K lifetime
  4. 4tradetosurvive144% won of 27,320$47−$218K lifetime
  5. 5Haradwaith50% won of 60,779$45−$381K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?"?

59 wallets hold a position worth $1.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is G.Hchen, with $356 on it, $21K lifetime profit over 249 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $124 on it, $271K lifetime profit over 142,870 markets (39% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 45¢ and No at 56¢, a 56% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.