Who's betting on “Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?”?
Smart money leans No: 75% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 34 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.1K by 70 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 41% 43 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 75% 27 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
41% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 34 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 45 points. A week ago, No by 45 points.
Who holds it
70 wallets hold a position worth $4.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is PK123, with $18 on it, $1.8K lifetime loss over 246 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is Slowroasted, with $2.0K on it, $35K lifetime profit over 216 markets (83% won).
- Holders
- 43
- Money on it
- $142
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $3.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 78%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$142 on it
- 1PK12347% won of 246$18−$1.8K lifetime
- 2yhvf000no record yet$15−$40 lifetime
- 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$13+$127K lifetime
- 4Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$13−$485K lifetime
- 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,759 · noise$11+$27K lifetime
No$3.9K on it
- 1Slowroasted83% won of 216 · whale$2.0K+$35K lifetime
- 20xF80E74bC34e0C1BE6D4352D6eDEBB710E6602af8-172011916701364% won of 128 · balanced$854+$4.6K lifetime
- 3crossx76% won of 173$329−$4.7K lifetime
- 4mslps100% won of 1$296−$129 lifetime
- 5lifechangefast94% won of 201$164−$261 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?"?
70 wallets hold a position worth $4.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is PK123, with $18 on it, $1.8K lifetime loss over 246 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is Slowroasted, with $2.0K on it, $35K lifetime profit over 216 markets (83% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
41% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 34 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 45 points. A week ago, No by 45 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.