Who's betting on “Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?”?
Smart money leans No: 79% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 43 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $10K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.1K by 41 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 36% 19 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 79% 22 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 31¢ and No at 69¢, a 69% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
36% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 43 points.
Who holds it
41 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 41 of them. The largest Yes holder is DumbMoney2222, with $310 on it, $9.8K lifetime loss over 49 markets (45% won). The largest No holder is StarMaster, with $345 on it, $98K lifetime profit over 944 markets (54% won).
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $646
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$646 on it
- 1DumbMoney222245% won of 49$310−$9.8K lifetime
- 2smellyEllie50% won of 1,984 · whale$77+$106K lifetime
- 3RadioCCOD38% won of 208 · noise$69+$9.4K lifetime
- 4Antony8267% won of 712 · balanced$62+$3.7K lifetime
- 5PK12347% won of 250$31−$1.9K lifetime
No$1.4K on it
- 1StarMaster54% won of 944 · whale$345+$98K lifetime
- 2Manchild44% won of 200 · noise$298+$919 lifetime
- 3h03859602735584% won of 269 · whale$219+$16K lifetime
- 4coypu88% won of 292 · grinder$145+$1.3K lifetime
- 5Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$119−$485K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?"?
41 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 41 of them. The largest Yes holder is DumbMoney2222, with $310 on it, $9.8K lifetime loss over 49 markets (45% won). The largest No holder is StarMaster, with $345 on it, $98K lifetime profit over 944 markets (54% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 31¢ and No at 69¢, a 69% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
36% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 43 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.