Who's betting on “Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?”?
Sports · $920K volume · Ends May 30, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $920K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on May 30, 2027.
64% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago, No by 36 points.
694 wallets hold a position worth $113K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 688 of them. The largest Yes holder is 50-Pence, with $8.7K on it, $154K lifetime profit over 794 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is 1922, with $26K on it, $147K lifetime profit over 200 markets (86% won).
- Smart money share
- 64%
- Holders
- 648
- Money on it
- $70K
- Holders' winrate
- 59%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 99%
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $43K
- Holders' winrate
- 84%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50-Pencewhale | $8.7K | +$154K | 49% of 794 |
| CHUPETIRRI | $7.9K | -$54K | 85% of 215 |
| Gucky-45noise | $5.6K | +$215K | 32% of 1,146 |
| smoovsterwhale | $4.1K | +$2.9K | 65% of 37 |
| tnlwhale | $2.6K | +$27K | 53% of 1,086 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1922whale | $26K | +$147K | 86% of 200 |
| Momo63whale | $12K | +$120K | 92% of 957 |
| Nooseracwhale | $2.7K | +$1.3M | 57% of 2,833 |
| TimSheHewhale | $975 | +$28K | 46% of 1,049 |
| 0x10B5cAAeBC2ae0DC047f1bF59AddCCa5ce9533f9-1744129547406 | $456 | +$436 | 100% of 4 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Shakhtar Donetsk$35M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Barcelona$1.6M vol.Yes 24%No 77%Smart money: No
- Paris Saint-Germain$1.2M vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: No
- Porto$1.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Inter Milan$960K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Borussia Dortmund$926K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Manchester City$909K vol.Yes 8%No 93%Smart money: No
- Atlético Madrid$848K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Sporting CP$827K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- PSV Eindhoven$813K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Lille$805K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Real Betis$803K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Manchester United$782K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Lens$757K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Napoli$755K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Villarreal$736K vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: No
- Arsenal$708K vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: Yes
- Club Brugge$704K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Galatasaray$703K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Como$701K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money split
- Roma$677K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Feyenoord$672K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- VfB Stuttgart$663K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Aston Villa$654K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money split
Other big sports markets
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?$7.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7.2M vol.Yes 70%No 30%Smart money: No
- Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$7.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$6.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$6.2M vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.8M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.7M vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?"?
694 wallets hold a position worth $113K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 688 of them. The largest Yes holder is 50-Pence, with $8.7K on it, $154K lifetime profit over 794 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is 1922, with $26K on it, $147K lifetime profit over 200 markets (86% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $920K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on May 30, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
64% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago, No by 36 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on May 30, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.