Who's betting on “Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 54% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 25 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $73K traded all time
- Held now
- $30K by 191 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 54% 117 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 29% 74 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 90¢ and No at 10¢, a 90% implied chance of Yes. $73K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 5, 2026.
The smart money
54% of the money on Yes and 29% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 13 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.
Who holds it
191 wallets hold a position worth $30K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 191 of them. The largest Yes holder is xNoWay, with $4.3K on it, $3.4K lifetime loss over 13 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $226 on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $82 on Yes.
- Holders
- 117
- Money on it
- $28K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Snipers
- 1 · $82
- Holders
- 74
- Money on it
- $1.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$28K on it
- 1xNoWay62% won of 13$4.3K−$3.4K lifetime
- 2Ryxon2181% won of 609 · whale$4.1K+$133K lifetime
- 3Musk571% won of 664$2.7K−$6.9K lifetime
- 4Nostracomus90% won of 10$2.0K−$1.4K lifetime
- 5bmraposo67% won of 54$1.6K−$2.3K lifetime
No$1.8K on it
- 1anoin12359% won of 1,608$226−$4.7M lifetime
- 2Shynomore100% won of 1$180−$10K lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 49,005$144−$50K lifetime
- 412398745644% won of 2,418 · whale$125+$51K lifetime
- 5DuneMentat75% won of 834$79−$12K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Pernambuco Governor Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?"?
191 wallets hold a position worth $30K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 191 of them. The largest Yes holder is xNoWay, with $4.3K on it, $3.4K lifetime loss over 13 markets (62% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $226 on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 90¢ and No at 10¢, a 90% implied chance of Yes. $73K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 5, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
54% of the money on Yes and 29% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 13 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 5, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.