Who's betting on “Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 75% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 17 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $9.2K by 68 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 75% 31 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 58% 36 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 11, 2026 and resolved Yes. $17K has been traded on it.
The smart money
75% of the money on Yes and 58% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 24 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
Who holds it
68 wallets hold a position worth $9.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them.
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $9.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 85%
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $3
- Holders' win rate
- 36%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?"?
68 wallets hold a position worth $9.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?"?
This market closed on October 11, 2026 and resolved Yes. $17K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
75% of the money on Yes and 58% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 24 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 11, 2026 and resolved Yes. $17K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.