Who's betting on “Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $45K traded all time
- Held now
- $22K by 143 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 58% 68 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 59% 71 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 12, 2026 and resolved Yes. $45K has been traded on it.
The smart money
58% of the money on Yes and 59% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
143 wallets hold a position worth $22K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 139 of them.
- Holders
- 71
- Money on it
- $22K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Holders
- 72
- Money on it
- $7
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee
2 more- Boris Vallaud$16K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Olivier Faure$15K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?"?
143 wallets hold a position worth $22K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 139 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?"?
This market closed on October 12, 2026 and resolved Yes. $45K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
58% of the money on Yes and 59% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 12, 2026 and resolved Yes. $45K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.