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Who's betting on “Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?”?

Politics$72K traded149 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
5%Yes
95%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 69% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 14 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$72K
traded all time
Held now
$19K
by 149 wallets
Smart share · Yes
55%
78 scored holders
Smart share · No
69%
68 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $72K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

55% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 13 points. A week ago, No by 21 points.

Who holds it

149 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 146 of them. The largest Yes holder is LlamaLoco0000, with $443 on it, $325K lifetime profit over 299 markets (45% won). The largest No holder is budu100, with $6.9K on it, $7.4K lifetime profit over 145 markets (67% won).

Yes5%
Smart money share55%
7 days ago 55%a day ago 55%now 55%
Holders
80
Money on it
$950
Holders' win rate
58%
No95%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share69% ▲ 1 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 76%a day ago 68%now 69%
Holders
69
Money on it
$18K
Holders' win rate
77%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$950 on it

  1. 1LlamaLoco000045% won of 299 · noise$443+$325K lifetime
  2. 20xa4D7Fb12396197D9b805b9F95Ab3F05b190522a5-178272360951285% won of 33$94−$1.2K lifetime
  3. 3okegas-okegas85% won of 13$86−$621 lifetime
  4. 4dynatleno record yet$52+$0 lifetime
  5. 5oxc50% won of 2$38−$55 lifetime

No$18K on it

  1. 1budu10067% won of 145 · whale$6.9K+$7.4K lifetime
  2. 2taesookim97% won of 208$4.1K−$8.6K lifetime
  3. 3archaic86% won of 1,473 · whale$2.3K+$197K lifetime
  4. 4Roht63% won of 288 · whale$846+$34K lifetime
  5. 5polmar00166% won of 58$488−$23K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?"?

149 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 146 of them. The largest Yes holder is LlamaLoco0000, with $443 on it, $325K lifetime profit over 299 markets (45% won). The largest No holder is budu100, with $6.9K on it, $7.4K lifetime profit over 145 markets (67% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $72K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

55% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 13 points. A week ago, No by 21 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.