Who's betting on “Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?”?
Smart money leans No: 44% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 43 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.3K by 37 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 1% 15 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 44% 22 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 56¢ and No at 44¢, a 56% implied chance of Yes. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 14, 2026.
The smart money
1% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 33 points.
Who holds it
37 wallets hold a position worth $4.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is HIMKIKI, with $2.4K on it, $144 lifetime loss over 96 markets (91% won). The largest No holder is attempt-most, with $440 on it, $47K lifetime loss over 685 markets (80% won).
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $2.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 86%
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $1.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.7K on it
- 1HIMKIKI91% won of 96$2.4K−$144 lifetime
- 2SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,620$84−$9.0K lifetime
- 3pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$83−$320K lifetime
- 4tradetosurvive145% won of 25,331$70−$217K lifetime
- 5ghorrock64% won of 33,441 · whale$11+$7.2K lifetime
No$1.6K on it
- 1attempt-most80% won of 685$440−$47K lifetime
- 2AiBird57% won of 1,279 · whale$293+$122K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$222+$255K lifetime
- 4TheWindKnowsmyName68% won of 490$194−$52K lifetime
- 5lissartter56% won of 2,997$123−$287K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$950K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?"?
37 wallets hold a position worth $4.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is HIMKIKI, with $2.4K on it, $144 lifetime loss over 96 markets (91% won). The largest No holder is attempt-most, with $440 on it, $47K lifetime loss over 685 markets (80% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 56¢ and No at 44¢, a 56% implied chance of Yes. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 14, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
1% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 33 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 14, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.