Who's betting on “Will Payton Tolle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?”?
Sports · $196K volume · Ends December 19, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $196K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 19, 2026.
82% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 19 points.
46 wallets hold a position worth $3 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gucky-45, with $1 on it, $215K lifetime profit over 1,146 markets (32% won). The largest No holder is graynotebook19, with $0 on it, $68K lifetime profit over 19,712 markets (26% won).
- Smart money share
- 82%
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $3
- Holders' winrate
- 36%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 100%
- Holders
- 1
- Money on it
- $0
- Holders' winrate
- 26%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gucky-45noise | $1 | +$215K | 32% of 1,146 |
| DG-NOnoise | $1 | +$8.9K | 30% of 292 |
| 52adsa | $0 | -$586 | 19% of 343 |
| LornaPredictsnoise | $0 | +$30K | 29% of 10,707 |
| rx8549o867549noise | $0 | +$2.5K | 22% of 247 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| graynotebook19noise | $0 | +$68K | 26% of 19,712 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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- Parker Messick$11K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Payton Tolle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?"?
46 wallets hold a position worth $3 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gucky-45, with $1 on it, $215K lifetime profit over 1,146 markets (32% won). The largest No holder is graynotebook19, with $0 on it, $68K lifetime profit over 19,712 markets (26% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Payton Tolle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $196K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 19, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
82% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 19 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 19, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.