Who's betting on “Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?”?
Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 19 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $81K traded all time
- Held now
- $329 by 83 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 81% 74 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 8 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $81K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
81% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 19 points. A week ago, No by 5 points.
Who holds it
83 wallets hold a position worth $329 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 82 of them. The largest Yes holder is aka41, with $32 on it, $6.1K lifetime profit over 200 markets (31% won). The largest No holder is Sunbreon, with $99 on it, $3.3K lifetime profit over 210 markets (40% won).
- Holders
- 74
- Money on it
- $194
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
- Holders
- 9
- Money on it
- $136
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$194 on it
- 1aka4131% won of 200 · noise$32+$6.1K lifetime
- 2Mecky50% won of 426 · whale$23+$89K lifetime
- 3YoungAlphaGoat54% won of 498 · whale$20+$89K lifetime
- 4fiter17% won of 842 · noise$14+$50K lifetime
- 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,896 · noise$14+$28K lifetime
No$136 on it
- 1Sunbreon40% won of 210 · noise$99+$3.3K lifetime
- 2alijbee62% won of 220 · balanced$18+$1.4K lifetime
- 3asdfasdf1145% won of 4,422 · balanced$10+$1.0K lifetime
- 40x2288…0494no record yet$7
- 50x539b…c64f99% won of 557 · grinder$1+$75 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
7 more- $12.5B–$15B$107K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- $7.5B–$10B$105K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- $10B–$12.5B$97K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- $20B+$74K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- $15B–$17.5B$65K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- $17.5B–$20B$46K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- No IPO before January 2027$39K vol.Yes 94%No 6%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?"?
83 wallets hold a position worth $329 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 82 of them. The largest Yes holder is aka41, with $32 on it, $6.1K lifetime profit over 200 markets (31% won). The largest No holder is Sunbreon, with $99 on it, $3.3K lifetime profit over 210 markets (40% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $81K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
81% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 19 points. A week ago, No by 5 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.