
Who's betting on “Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $65K traded all time
- Held now
- $494 by 87 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 73% 71 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 71% 15 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $65K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
73% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 5 points.
Who holds it
87 wallets hold a position worth $494 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 86 of them. The largest Yes holder is web2256, with $17 on it, $1.4K lifetime profit over 22 markets (32% won). The largest No holder is rocky42002, with $174 on it, $8.1K lifetime profit over 956 markets (54% won).
- Holders
- 71
- Money on it
- $60
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $434
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$60 on it
- 1web225632% won of 22 · noise$17+$1.4K lifetime
- 2arbandy73% won of 217$13−$166K lifetime
- 3SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$5+$203K lifetime
- 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$5+$334K lifetime
- 50x124e…a8a981% won of 243 · balanced$4+$4.6K lifetime
No$434 on it
- 1rocky4200254% won of 956 · whale$174+$8.1K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,151$60−$48K lifetime
- 3tradetosurvive145% won of 25,331$50−$217K lifetime
- 4tinman279% won of 401 · whale$50+$14K lifetime
- 5vimtodcs88% won of 304 · balanced$48+$27K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
7 more- $12.5B–$15B$107K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- $7.5B–$10B$105K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- $10B–$12.5B$97K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- <$7.5B$81K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- $20B+$74K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- $17.5B–$20B$46K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- No IPO before January 2027$39K vol.Yes 94%No 6%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?"?
87 wallets hold a position worth $494 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 86 of them. The largest Yes holder is web2256, with $17 on it, $1.4K lifetime profit over 22 markets (32% won). The largest No holder is rocky42002, with $174 on it, $8.1K lifetime profit over 956 markets (54% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $65K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
73% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 5 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.