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Who's betting on “Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?”?

Finance$65K traded87 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
0%Yes
100%No

The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.

Volume
$65K
traded all time
Held now
$494
by 87 wallets
Smart share · Yes
73%
71 scored holders
Smart share · No
71%
15 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $65K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

73% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 5 points.

Who holds it

87 wallets hold a position worth $494 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 86 of them. The largest Yes holder is web2256, with $17 on it, $1.4K lifetime profit over 22 markets (32% won). The largest No holder is rocky42002, with $174 on it, $8.1K lifetime profit over 956 markets (54% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share73%
7 days ago 74%a day ago 73%now 73%
Holders
71
Money on it
$60
Holders' win rate
51%
No100%
Smart money share71%
7 days ago 80%a day ago 71%now 71%
Holders
16
Money on it
$434
Holders' win rate
58%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$60 on it

  1. 1web225632% won of 22 · noise$17+$1.4K lifetime
  2. 2arbandy73% won of 217$13−$166K lifetime
  3. 3SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$5+$203K lifetime
  4. 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$5+$334K lifetime
  5. 50x124e…a8a981% won of 243 · balanced$4+$4.6K lifetime

No$434 on it

  1. 1rocky4200254% won of 956 · whale$174+$8.1K lifetime
  2. 2cigarettes46% won of 49,151$60−$48K lifetime
  3. 3tradetosurvive145% won of 25,331$50−$217K lifetime
  4. 4tinman279% won of 401 · whale$50+$14K lifetime
  5. 5vimtodcs88% won of 304 · balanced$48+$27K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?"?

87 wallets hold a position worth $494 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 86 of them. The largest Yes holder is web2256, with $17 on it, $1.4K lifetime profit over 22 markets (32% won). The largest No holder is rocky42002, with $174 on it, $8.1K lifetime profit over 956 markets (54% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $65K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

73% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 5 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.