Who's betting on “Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 84% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 14 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $107K traded all time
- Held now
- $356 by 88 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 84% 71 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 70% 16 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $107K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
84% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 9 points.
Who holds it
88 wallets hold a position worth $356 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is web2256, with $33 on it, $1.4K lifetime profit over 22 markets (32% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $60 on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,227 markets (46% won).
- Holders
- 71
- Money on it
- $102
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $254
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$102 on it
- 1web225632% won of 22 · noise$33+$1.4K lifetime
- 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$17+$203K lifetime
- 3arbandy73% won of 217$11−$166K lifetime
- 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$6+$334K lifetime
- 5Ju1ian51% won of 201 · balanced$6+$2.8K lifetime
No$254 on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,227$60−$49K lifetime
- 2tinman279% won of 401 · whale$50+$14K lifetime
- 3GingerMcKenna36% won of 5,022 · noise$48+$39K lifetime
- 4alijbee62% won of 220 · balanced$45+$1.4K lifetime
- 5yes-yes-no36% won of 475 · noise$10+$8.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
7 more- $7.5B–$10B$105K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- $10B–$12.5B$97K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- <$7.5B$81K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- $20B+$74K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- $15B–$17.5B$65K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- $17.5B–$20B$46K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- No IPO before January 2027$39K vol.Yes 94%No 6%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?"?
88 wallets hold a position worth $356 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is web2256, with $33 on it, $1.4K lifetime profit over 22 markets (32% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $60 on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,227 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $107K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
84% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 9 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.