Who's betting on “Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 53 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $46K traded all time
- Held now
- $207 by 73 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 94% 64 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 41% 8 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $46K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
94% of the money on Yes and 41% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 53 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 53 points. A week ago, Yes by 35 points.
Who holds it
73 wallets hold a position worth $207 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $24 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $60 on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,227 markets (46% won).
- Holders
- 64
- Money on it
- $76
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 9
- Money on it
- $131
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$76 on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$24+$203K lifetime
- 2Ju1ian51% won of 201 · balanced$9+$2.8K lifetime
- 3krisxxi44% won of 289 · noise$7+$2.5K lifetime
- 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$5+$334K lifetime
- 50x124e…a8a981% won of 243 · balanced$5+$4.6K lifetime
No$131 on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,227$60−$49K lifetime
- 2tinman279% won of 401 · whale$50+$14K lifetime
- 30xc6ed…efd3no record yet$12+$0 lifetime
- 40x2288…0494no record yet$7
- 5rocky4200254% won of 956 · whale$1+$8.1K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
7 more- $12.5B–$15B$107K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- $7.5B–$10B$105K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- $10B–$12.5B$97K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- <$7.5B$81K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- $20B+$74K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- $15B–$17.5B$65K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- No IPO before January 2027$39K vol.Yes 94%No 6%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?"?
73 wallets hold a position worth $207 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $24 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $60 on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,227 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $46K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
94% of the money on Yes and 41% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 53 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 53 points. A week ago, Yes by 35 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.