Who's betting on “Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?”?
Finance · $187K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $187K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
48% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 9 points. A week ago it was split.
303 wallets hold a position worth $929 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 303 of them. The largest Yes holder is BurstedBubble, with $41 on it, $45K lifetime loss over 2 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is 165198989, with $191 on it, $16K lifetime loss over 227 markets (44% won).
- Smart money share
- 48%
- Holders
- 223
- Money on it
- $236
- Holders' winrate
- 52%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 57%
- Holders
- 80
- Money on it
- $693
- Holders' winrate
- 73%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| BurstedBubble | $41 | -$45K | 100% of 2 |
| nryybalanced | $14 | +$161 | 59% of 202 |
| thecaricature | $13 | -$8.0K | 42% of 660 |
| balthazarwhale | $10 | +$1.2M | 53% of 44,054 |
| FlexPowernoise | $9 | +$22K | 18% of 2,205 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165198989 | $191 | -$16K | 44% of 227 |
| 88mnm88whale | $149 | +$12K | 100% of 214 |
| Elias.Thornwellwhale | $94 | +$4.5K | 69% of 2,940 |
| lido888balanced | $50 | +$98 | 82% of 116 |
| pavvzykgrinder | $30 | +$1.4K | 92% of 204 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?"?
303 wallets hold a position worth $929 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 303 of them. The largest Yes holder is BurstedBubble, with $41 on it, $45K lifetime loss over 2 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is 165198989, with $191 on it, $16K lifetime loss over 227 markets (44% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $187K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
48% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 9 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.