Who's betting on “Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 79% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 26 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $83K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.8K by 87 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 53% 61 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 79% 25 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $83K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
53% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 34 points. A week ago, No by 6 points.
Who holds it
87 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 86 of them. The largest Yes holder is suoha518, with $621 on it, $1.6K lifetime loss over 39 markets (54% won). The largest No holder is 0xJasonSan, with $158 on it, $14K lifetime profit over 662 markets (78% won).
- Holders
- 62
- Money on it
- $2.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $382
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.4K on it
- 1suoha51854% won of 39$621−$1.6K lifetime
- 2memefactory88871% won of 56$262−$158 lifetime
- 3DancewithRisk70% won of 335 · whale$248+$35K lifetime
- 4Albert 195387% won of 215 · whale$238+$258K lifetime
- 5MaxEnt41% won of 365 · noise$223+$816 lifetime
No$382 on it
- 10xJasonSan78% won of 662 · whale$158+$14K lifetime
- 2rhinogiraffe54% won of 299$69−$52 lifetime
- 3WadowShizzard23% won of 209 · noise$68+$4.6K lifetime
- 4Leclerc0451% won of 1,214 · balanced$50+$3.8K lifetime
- 5asdfasdf1145% won of 4,422 · balanced$9+$1.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
6 more- 1.5T+$163K vol.Yes 40%No 60%Smart money: No
- 1T–1.25T$103K vol.Yes 10%No 90%Smart money: Yes
- No IPO by December 31, 2027$102K vol.Yes 22%No 78%Smart money: No
- 750B–1T$76K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- <500B$45K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- 500–750B$31K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?"?
87 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 86 of them. The largest Yes holder is suoha518, with $621 on it, $1.6K lifetime loss over 39 markets (54% won). The largest No holder is 0xJasonSan, with $158 on it, $14K lifetime profit over 662 markets (78% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $83K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
53% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 34 points. A week ago, No by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.