Who's betting on “Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 9 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $102K traded all time
- Held now
- $15K by 115 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 85% 77 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 94% 37 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 22¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $102K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
85% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 7 points. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.
Who holds it
115 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 114 of them. The largest Yes holder is chivoexpiatorio, with $2.9K on it, $9.2K lifetime profit over 62 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is 0xff7c…b233, with $5.3K on it, $61K lifetime profit over 500 markets (67% won).
- Holders
- 77
- Money on it
- $7.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $8.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$7.1K on it
- 1chivoexpiatorio48% won of 62 · noise$2.9K+$9.2K lifetime
- 2Folletin73% won of 670 · whale$985+$72K lifetime
- 3SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$634+$203K lifetime
- 4bqb47% won of 19$426−$2.4K lifetime
- 5Jesetrading76% won of 274 · balanced$309+$6.1K lifetime
No$8.2K on it
- 10xff7c…b23367% won of 500 · whale$5.3K+$61K lifetime
- 2DancewithRisk70% won of 335 · whale$2.2K+$35K lifetime
- 3uniloktij36% won of 272$159−$280 lifetime
- 4cryptoincome91% won of 1,010$126−$18K lifetime
- 5Anjun67% won of 1,880 · whale$86+$803K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
6 more- 1.5T+$163K vol.Yes 40%No 60%Smart money: No
- 1T–1.25T$103K vol.Yes 10%No 90%Smart money: Yes
- 1.25T–1.5T$83K vol.Yes 12%No 89%Smart money: No
- 750B–1T$76K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- <500B$45K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- 500–750B$31K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?"?
115 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 114 of them. The largest Yes holder is chivoexpiatorio, with $2.9K on it, $9.2K lifetime profit over 62 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is 0xff7c…b233, with $5.3K on it, $61K lifetime profit over 500 markets (67% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 22¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $102K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
85% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 7 points. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.