Who's betting on “Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 78% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 44 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $10K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.0K by 38 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 78% 19 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 34% 19 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 56¢ and No at 45¢, a 56% implied chance of Yes. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
The smart money
78% of the money on Yes and 34% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 41 points.
Who holds it
38 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 38 of them. The largest Yes holder is probability, with $630 on it, $118K lifetime profit over 3,325 markets (31% won). The largest No holder is macrosteaks, with $134 on it, $7.8K lifetime loss over 2,608 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $1.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 45%
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $441
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.6K on it
- 1probability31% won of 3,325 · noise$630+$118K lifetime
- 2sollydisa57% won of 176 · balanced$354+$6.4K lifetime
- 3Hot-SkullHomelessBegger75% won of 71 · balanced$174+$16K lifetime
- 4DarkFish55% won of 646$118−$13K lifetime
- 5VintageV24% won of 88$83−$1.3K lifetime
No$441 on it
- 1macrosteaks64% won of 2,608$134−$7.8K lifetime
- 2DuneMentat75% won of 834$129−$12K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,228 · noise$94+$254K lifetime
- 47figtc69% won of 3,759 · balanced$22+$3.6K lifetime
- 5b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.98% won of 3,362 · whale$18+$22K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?"?
38 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 38 of them. The largest Yes holder is probability, with $630 on it, $118K lifetime profit over 3,325 markets (31% won). The largest No holder is macrosteaks, with $134 on it, $7.8K lifetime loss over 2,608 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 56¢ and No at 45¢, a 56% implied chance of Yes. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
78% of the money on Yes and 34% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 41 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.