Who's betting on “Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 93% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 20 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $106 by 64 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 73% 55 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 93% 9 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
73% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.
Who holds it
64 wallets hold a position worth $106 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 64 of them. The largest Yes holder is acal, with $2 on it, $15K lifetime profit over 520 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is 29C, with $39 on it, $3 lifetime profit over 6 markets (100% won).
- Holders
- 55
- Money on it
- $8
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 9
- Money on it
- $98
- Holders' win rate
- 91%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$8 on it
- 1acal79% won of 520 · whale$2+$15K lifetime
- 2BornAgain2680% won of 226$2−$5.1K lifetime
- 3balthazar53% won of 52,414 · whale$1+$1.2M lifetime
- 4e46m347% won of 87,774 · whale$0+$964K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$0+$255K lifetime
No$98 on it
- 129C100% won of 6$39+$3 lifetime
- 205405100% won of 6$35+$11 lifetime
- 30xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-178705804843855% won of 2,352$6−$2.7K lifetime
- 4moon1ight67% won of 39 · balanced$5+$8 lifetime
- 5Hugin-og-Munin42% won of 15,635 · whale$5+$21K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in 3rd Largest Company end of October?
3 more- Microsoft$56K vol.Yes 95%No 5%Smart money split
- Alphabet$43K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Apple$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?"?
64 wallets hold a position worth $106 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 64 of them. The largest Yes holder is acal, with $2 on it, $15K lifetime profit over 520 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is 29C, with $39 on it, $3 lifetime profit over 6 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
73% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.