Who's betting on “Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 81% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 12 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $936 by 62 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 81% 47 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 70% 15 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
81% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
62 wallets hold a position worth $936 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them. The largest Yes holder is X10X10, with $1 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,551 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is biloute, with $300 on it, $244 lifetime profit over 117 markets (81% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on Yes.
- Holders
- 47
- Money on it
- $9
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Snipers
- 1 · $0
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $927
- Holders' win rate
- 78%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$9 on it
- 1X10X1041% won of 1,551 · noise$1+$38K lifetime
- 2seehi51% won of 212$1−$6.4K lifetime
- 3Hauchn43% won of 224 · noise$1+$230K lifetime
- 4acal79% won of 520 · whale$1+$15K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$1+$255K lifetime
No$927 on it
- 1biloute81% won of 117 · balanced$300+$244 lifetime
- 2myibaba85% won of 73 · balanced$165+$110 lifetime
- 30x15a9e3a45C92BD0b44402423a5724FB506325289-176845002055258% won of 193$126−$39 lifetime
- 4Armstronge70% won of 159$105−$20 lifetime
- 5likeai75% won of 146 · balanced$60+$9 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in 3rd Largest Company end of October?
3 more- Microsoft$56K vol.Yes 95%No 5%Smart money split
- Alphabet$43K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- NVIDIA$11K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?"?
62 wallets hold a position worth $936 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them. The largest Yes holder is X10X10, with $1 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,551 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is biloute, with $300 on it, $244 lifetime profit over 117 markets (81% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
81% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.