Who's betting on “Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 85% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 24 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $43K traded all time
- Held now
- $8.8K by 181 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 61% 130 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 85% 49 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $43K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
61% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 15 points. A week ago, No by 18 points.
Who holds it
181 wallets hold a position worth $8.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 179 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396, with $124 on it, $4.0M lifetime loss over 78,573 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is Hauchn, with $3.2K on it, $230K lifetime profit over 224 markets (43% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $12 on Yes.
- Holders
- 132
- Money on it
- $604
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Snipers
- 1 · $12
- Holders
- 49
- Money on it
- $8.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$604 on it
- 10x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-178340600939647% won of 78,573$124−$4.0M lifetime
- 2Nadmi35% won of 1,251 · noise$35+$154K lifetime
- 3DOG-UndressedVersion69% won of 214 · whale$31+$14K lifetime
- 4Markeee81% won of 54 · balanced$27+$2.2K lifetime
- 5gambler92551% won of 535 · whale$27+$6.7K lifetime
No$8.2K on it
- 1Hauchn43% won of 224 · noise$3.2K+$230K lifetime
- 2SteveTheFish67% won of 112 · whale$1.8K+$27K lifetime
- 30x0bC00DcB5e32D4B913a99C5bF274ADBb8eCd0f2a-178327422276859% won of 22 · noise$1.0K+$8.1K lifetime
- 4rocky4201653% won of 688$643−$8.0K lifetime
- 5HeroKillwop39% won of 38 · noise$439+$69 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in 3rd Largest Company end of October?
3 more- Microsoft$56K vol.Yes 95%No 5%Smart money split
- Apple$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- NVIDIA$11K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?"?
181 wallets hold a position worth $8.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 179 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396, with $124 on it, $4.0M lifetime loss over 78,573 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is Hauchn, with $3.2K on it, $230K lifetime profit over 224 markets (43% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $43K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
61% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 15 points. A week ago, No by 18 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.