Who's betting on “Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 6 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $39K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.3K by 34 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 88% 22 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 83% 12 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $39K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
88% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 8 points. A week ago, Yes by 7 points.
Who holds it
34 wallets hold a position worth $3.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 34 of them. The largest Yes holder is Nadmi, with $198 on it, $154K lifetime profit over 1,251 markets (35% won). The largest No holder is lIllIIl, with $1.1K on it, $17K lifetime profit over 1,003 markets (35% won).
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $400
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $2.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$400 on it
- 1Nadmi35% won of 1,251 · noise$198+$154K lifetime
- 2Newshound73% won of 1,051 · whale$36+$73K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,228 · noise$31+$254K lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,759 · noise$25+$27K lifetime
- 5Oskoreiter62% won of 266 · balanced$18+$5.5K lifetime
No$2.9K on it
- 1lIllIIl35% won of 1,003 · noise$1.1K+$17K lifetime
- 2Olcan70% won of 645 · whale$1.1K+$45K lifetime
- 3Aleksei-Ivanovich81% won of 224$306−$4.2K lifetime
- 4flexibleagedbeef91% won of 11$166+$2.3K lifetime
- 5raymond202759% won of 49$144−$2.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?"?
34 wallets hold a position worth $3.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 34 of them. The largest Yes holder is Nadmi, with $198 on it, $154K lifetime profit over 1,251 markets (35% won). The largest No holder is lIllIIl, with $1.1K on it, $17K lifetime profit over 1,003 markets (35% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $39K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
88% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 8 points. A week ago, Yes by 7 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.