Who's betting on “Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 89% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 16 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $77K traded all time
- Held now
- $11K by 134 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 89% 70 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 73% 63 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 34¢ and No at 66¢, a 66% implied chance of No. $77K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
89% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
Who holds it
134 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 133 of them. The largest Yes holder is buoys, with $1.8K on it, $83K lifetime profit over 1,244 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is bernardbulletin, with $3.3K on it, $198K lifetime profit over 1,126 markets (75% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $164 on No.
- Holders
- 70
- Money on it
- $3.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 64
- Money on it
- $6.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Snipers
- 1 · $164
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.9K on it
- 1buoys46% won of 1,244 · whale$1.8K+$83K lifetime
- 2Olcan70% won of 645 · whale$600+$45K lifetime
- 3siick69% won of 1,040 · whale$592+$97K lifetime
- 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$220+$335K lifetime
- 5worldwideMCA100% won of 3$148−$5.3K lifetime
No$6.9K on it
- 1bernardbulletin75% won of 1,126 · whale$3.3K+$198K lifetime
- 2bonalddrunk60% won of 378$1.0K−$13K lifetime
- 3random123135no record yet$515−$758 lifetime
- 4Cheesik36% won of 11$457+$1.0K lifetime
- 5jaja505081% won of 301 · whale$324+$43K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
2 more- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.$24K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Susie Wiles$17K vol.Yes 26%No 74%Smart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?"?
134 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 133 of them. The largest Yes holder is buoys, with $1.8K on it, $83K lifetime profit over 1,244 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is bernardbulletin, with $3.3K on it, $198K lifetime profit over 1,126 markets (75% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 34¢ and No at 66¢, a 66% implied chance of No. $77K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
89% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.