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Who's betting on “Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?”?

Politics$79K traded67 holdersEnds March 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
49%Yes🧠 smart money
51%No

Smart money leans Yes: 93% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 11 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$79K
traded all time
Held now
$5.6K
by 67 wallets
Smart share · Yes
93%
36 scored holders
Smart share · No
82%
31 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 49¢ and No at 51¢, a 51% implied chance of No. $79K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.

The smart money

93% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 11 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 28 points.

Who holds it

67 wallets hold a position worth $5.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is gm-gg-gn, with $1.2K on it, $17K lifetime profit over 25 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is HolyMoses7, with $1.8K on it, $179K lifetime profit over 1,503 markets (53% won).

Yes49%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share93% ▲ 3 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 54%a day ago 91%now 93%
Holders
36
Money on it
$3.0K
Holders' win rate
54%
No51%
Smart money share82% ▼ 5 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 83%a day ago 87%now 82%
Holders
31
Money on it
$2.7K
Holders' win rate
55%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$3.0K on it

  1. 1gm-gg-gn48% won of 25 · noise$1.2K+$17K lifetime
  2. 2molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$645+$46K lifetime
  3. 3fbet78% won of 41 · balanced$417+$4.2K lifetime
  4. 4iuH1398SI73% won of 391$130−$15K lifetime
  5. 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,234 · noise$129+$255K lifetime

No$2.7K on it

  1. 1HolyMoses753% won of 1,503 · whale$1.8K+$179K lifetime
  2. 2Alex232323100% won of 4$253+$45 lifetime
  3. 3rafi10070% won of 53$171−$94 lifetime
  4. 40xd10A59fCC18955EeAebd06D1234Cc3BD1e3fB9cD-178211198433261% won of 889$68−$518 lifetime
  5. 50x0011…57e652% won of 157$54−$1.9K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?"?

67 wallets hold a position worth $5.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is gm-gg-gn, with $1.2K on it, $17K lifetime profit over 25 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is HolyMoses7, with $1.8K on it, $179K lifetime profit over 1,503 markets (53% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 49¢ and No at 51¢, a 51% implied chance of No. $79K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

93% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 11 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 28 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on March 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.