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Who's betting on “Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?”?

Politics$45K traded71 holdersEnds March 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
44%Yes
56%No

The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.

Volume
$45K
traded all time
Held now
$2.7K
by 71 wallets
Smart share · Yes
78%
41 scored holders
Smart share · No
82%
29 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 44¢ and No at 56¢, a 56% implied chance of No. $45K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.

The smart money

78% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.

Who holds it

71 wallets hold a position worth $2.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is HolyMoses7, with $622 on it, $179K lifetime profit over 1,503 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is adenakoz1, with $565 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 231 markets (30% won).

Yes44%
Smart money share78% ▼ 1 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 92%a day ago 79%now 78%
Holders
41
Money on it
$1.6K
Holders' win rate
56%
No56%
Smart money share82% ▲ 13 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 58%a day ago 69%now 82%
Holders
30
Money on it
$1.2K
Holders' win rate
42%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$1.6K on it

  1. 1HolyMoses753% won of 1,503 · whale$622+$179K lifetime
  2. 2Antony8267% won of 712 · balanced$218+$3.7K lifetime
  3. 3ffffafffff78% won of 23$184−$3.5K lifetime
  4. 4rocky4200254% won of 956 · whale$131+$8.1K lifetime
  5. 50x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$113+$127K lifetime

No$1.2K on it

  1. 1adenakoz130% won of 231 · noise$565+$11K lifetime
  2. 20xc725…8bf1no record yet$233
  3. 3HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$86+$325K lifetime
  4. 4fd43gsfg67% won of 43$84−$119 lifetime
  5. 5BikesAreTheBikes65% won of 1,351 · whale$78+$101K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?"?

71 wallets hold a position worth $2.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is HolyMoses7, with $622 on it, $179K lifetime profit over 1,503 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is adenakoz1, with $565 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 231 markets (30% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 44¢ and No at 56¢, a 56% implied chance of No. $45K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

78% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on March 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.