Who's betting on “Will "Nidal" or "Hasan" be in the headlines this week?”?
Smart money leans No: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 30 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $178 traded all time
- Held now
- $154 by 10 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 61% 4 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 91% 5 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 18, 2026 and resolved No. $178 has been traded on it.
The smart money
61% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 30 points. A week ago, No by 30 points.
Who holds it
10 wallets hold a position worth $154 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 9 of them.
- Holders
- 5
- Money on it
- $1
- Holders' win rate
- 36%
- Holders
- 5
- Money on it
- $154
- Holders' win rate
- 84%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 12 - October 18)
8 more- Prize$621 vol. · ClosedYes 35%No 65%Smart money: No
- Japan$461 vol. · ClosedYes 47%No 53%Smart money: No
- Brazil$303 vol. · ClosedYes 96%No 5%Smart money: No
- Oil$264 vol. · ClosedYes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- Woman$257 vol. · ClosedYes 96%No 5%Smart money split
- Climate$214 vol. · ClosedYes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- Life$154 vol. · ClosedYes 96%No 5%Smart money split
- Iran$32 vol. · ClosedYes 96%No 5%Smart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will "Nidal" or "Hasan" be in the headlines this week?"?
10 wallets hold a position worth $154 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 9 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will "Nidal" or "Hasan" be in the headlines this week?"?
This market closed on October 18, 2026 and resolved No. $178 has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
61% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 30 points. A week ago, No by 30 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 18, 2026 and resolved No. $178 has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.