Who's betting on “Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?”?
Smart money leans No: 56% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 11 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $19K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.4K by 40 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 45% 24 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 56% 16 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 5, 2026.
The smart money
45% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 11 points. A week ago, No by 17 points.
Who holds it
40 wallets hold a position worth $1.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 40 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x37525cB351f53968Cb1177C1059C09bC25E69d56-1761723227494, with $378 on it, $1.5K lifetime profit over 452 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed, with $6 on it, $163K lifetime profit over 15,956 markets (56% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on Yes.
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Snipers
- 1 · $0
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $28
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.4K on it
- 10x37525cB351f53968Cb1177C1059C09bC25E69d56-176172322749479% won of 452 · balanced$378+$1.5K lifetime
- 2sleepymonkey41% won of 539$291−$9.2K lifetime
- 3tradetosurvive145% won of 25,344$247−$217K lifetime
- 4bacs200067% won of 63 · balanced$93+$189 lifetime
- 5Bsau458% won of 396 · whale$74+$2.5K lifetime
No$28 on it
- 1Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,956 · whale$6+$163K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$6+$255K lifetime
- 3Dapsy51% won of 919$5−$73K lifetime
- 4Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$3−$377K lifetime
- 5estoicc58% won of 340 · balanced$2+$8.7K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Piura Mayoral Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?"?
40 wallets hold a position worth $1.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 40 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x37525cB351f53968Cb1177C1059C09bC25E69d56-1761723227494, with $378 on it, $1.5K lifetime profit over 452 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed, with $6 on it, $163K lifetime profit over 15,956 markets (56% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 5, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
45% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 11 points. A week ago, No by 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 5, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.