Who's betting on “Will Max Fried win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?”?
Sports · $486K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 25, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $486K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
58% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 45 points. A week ago, No by 28 points.
42 wallets hold a position worth $4 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 42 of them. The largest Yes holder is 2kparabellum, with $1 on it, $95 lifetime loss over 151 markets (91% won). The largest No holder is 13klklas, with $2 on it, $189 lifetime profit over 236 markets (35% won).
- Smart money share
- 58% ▲ 3 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $2
- Holders' winrate
- 56%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 100%
- Holders
- 1
- Money on it
- $2
- Holders' winrate
- 35%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2kparabellum | $1 | -$95 | 91% of 151 |
| labistiiianoise | $1 | +$181 | 30% of 633 |
| Ocean888 | $0 | -$205 | 29% of 63 |
| crckrwhale | $0 | +$51K | 85% of 726 |
| peepeepooppoopwhale | $0 | +$8.5K | 65% of 1,377 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13klklasnoise | $2 | +$189 | 35% of 236 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Max Fried win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?"?
42 wallets hold a position worth $4 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 42 of them. The largest Yes holder is 2kparabellum, with $1 on it, $95 lifetime loss over 151 markets (91% won). The largest No holder is 13klklas, with $2 on it, $189 lifetime profit over 236 markets (35% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Max Fried win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $486K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
58% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 45 points. A week ago, No by 28 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.