Who's betting on “Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?”?
Smart money leans No: 79% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 26 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $45K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.2K by 65 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 53% 27 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 79% 38 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $45K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
53% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 27 points. A week ago, No by 46 points.
Who holds it
65 wallets hold a position worth $5.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is macrosteaks, with $1.8K on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,614 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is garbagecollect2, with $40 on it, $30K lifetime profit over 1,896 markets (66% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $999 on Yes.
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $5.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Snipers
- 1 · $999
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $88
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.1K on it
- 1macrosteaks64% won of 2,614$1.8K−$8.2K lifetime
- 20x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-179244949675485% won of 13$1.1K+$8.7K lifetime
- 3FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$999+$244K lifetime
- 4DuneMentat74% won of 841$346−$12K lifetime
- 50xE2B44168f9C361a06a64ED3Fe0E858634E883c5A-176471005611048% won of 343 · balanced$270+$8.3K lifetime
No$88 on it
- 1garbagecollect266% won of 1,896 · whale$40+$30K lifetime
- 2cosmicsteaks47% won of 4,326 · whale$10+$8.2K lifetime
- 3longdated-poli4% won of 3,609$8−$64K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$5+$255K lifetime
- 5planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$4+$132K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?"?
65 wallets hold a position worth $5.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is macrosteaks, with $1.8K on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,614 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is garbagecollect2, with $40 on it, $30K lifetime profit over 1,896 markets (66% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $45K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
53% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 27 points. A week ago, No by 46 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.