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Who's betting on “Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?”?

Politics$48K traded118 holdersEnds August 13, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
96%Yes🧠 smart money
4%No

Smart money leans Yes: 72% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 32 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$48K
traded all time
Held now
$17K
by 118 wallets
Smart share · Yes
72%
82 scored holders
Smart share · No
41%
36 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $48K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on August 13, 2026.

The smart money

72% of the money on Yes and 41% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 26 points. A week ago, Yes by 24 points.

Who holds it

118 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 118 of them. The largest Yes holder is archaic, with $7.3K on it, $197K lifetime profit over 1,473 markets (86% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $245 on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won).

Yes96%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share72% ▲ 1 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 68%a day ago 71%now 72%
Holders
82
Money on it
$17K
Holders' win rate
82%
No4%
Smart money share41% ▼ 4 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 45%a day ago 45%now 41%
Holders
36
Money on it
$687
Holders' win rate
63%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$17K on it

  1. 1archaic86% won of 1,473 · whale$7.3K+$197K lifetime
  2. 2Bromley8689% won of 1,139 · whale$2.5K+$40K lifetime
  3. 3Binturung67% won of 64$959−$14K lifetime
  4. 4taesookim97% won of 208$715−$8.6K lifetime
  5. 50x507b51630295906bC404c52Ef0456A7BDbEC0742-176973698726567% won of 230$656−$5.4K lifetime

No$687 on it

  1. 1anoin12359% won of 1,608$245−$4.7M lifetime
  2. 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$131+$203K lifetime
  3. 30x3872…bb1d88% won of 34$61−$2.3K lifetime
  4. 4D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC3893558% won of 935 · whale$40+$85K lifetime
  5. 50x815a…af3793% won of 28$40−$702 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?"?

118 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 118 of them. The largest Yes holder is archaic, with $7.3K on it, $197K lifetime profit over 1,473 markets (86% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $245 on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $48K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on August 13, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

72% of the money on Yes and 41% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 26 points. A week ago, Yes by 24 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on August 13, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.