Who's betting on “Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 75% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 41 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.9K by 89 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 75% 56 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 34% 33 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 5, 2026.
The smart money
75% of the money on Yes and 34% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 41 points.
Who holds it
89 wallets hold a position worth $1.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 89 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $45 on it, $204K lifetime profit over 2,243 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is VivaCristoRei, with $532 on it, $240 lifetime profit over 1,057 markets (61% won).
- Holders
- 56
- Money on it
- $332
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $1.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$332 on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,243 · whale$45+$204K lifetime
- 2balthazar53% won of 53,310 · whale$27+$1.2M lifetime
- 3sleepymonkey41% won of 539$24−$9.2K lifetime
- 4chocolatepudding76% won of 510 · balanced$17+$18K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 124,469 · noise$14+$258K lifetime
No$1.6K on it
- 1VivaCristoRei61% won of 1,057 · balanced$532+$240 lifetime
- 2HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$325+$325K lifetime
- 3shugafa99% won of 23,224$288−$3.1K lifetime
- 4tradetosurvive145% won of 25,382$260−$217K lifetime
- 5solomillo99% won of 3,084 · whale$87+$2.6K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place
2 more- Carlos Viana$12K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Aécio Neves$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
Other big politics markets
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- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?"?
89 wallets hold a position worth $1.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 89 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $45 on it, $204K lifetime profit over 2,243 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is VivaCristoRei, with $532 on it, $240 lifetime profit over 1,057 markets (61% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 5, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
75% of the money on Yes and 34% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 41 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 5, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.