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Who's betting on “Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?”?

Politics$18K traded48 holdersEnds June 7, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
21%Yes
79%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 74% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 27 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$18K
traded all time
Held now
$1.3K
by 48 wallets
Smart share · Yes
46%
26 scored holders
Smart share · No
74%
22 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on June 7, 2027.

The smart money

46% of the money on Yes and 74% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points. A week ago, No by 33 points.

Who holds it

48 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is Haradwaith, with $117 on it, $377K lifetime loss over 54,058 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $529 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won).

Sharp money

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $44 on Yes.

Yes21%
Smart money share46%
7 days ago 43%a day ago 46%now 46%
Holders
26
Money on it
$470
Holders' win rate
60%
Snipers
1 · $44
No79%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share74%
7 days ago 76%a day ago 74%now 74%
Holders
22
Money on it
$840
Holders' win rate
55%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$470 on it

  1. 1Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$117−$377K lifetime
  2. 20x6c10…df5c66% won of 1,065$94−$70K lifetime
  3. 3ElGringoTlax83% won of 6$84+$557 lifetime
  4. 4FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$44+$244K lifetime
  5. 5Nadmi35% won of 1,251 · noise$39+$154K lifetime

No$840 on it

  1. 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$529+$203K lifetime
  2. 2leectram282% won of 776$184−$644 lifetime
  3. 30xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$41+$334K lifetime
  4. 4southparker73% won of 33 · balanced$16+$4.4K lifetime
  5. 5Hoodedslinky869% won of 13$11+$71 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?"?

48 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is Haradwaith, with $117 on it, $377K lifetime loss over 54,058 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $529 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on June 7, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

46% of the money on Yes and 74% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points. A week ago, No by 33 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on June 7, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.