Who's betting on “Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 66% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $37K traded all time
- Held now
- $8.0K by 55 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 66% 27 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 29% 28 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $37K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 21, 2026.
The smart money
66% of the money on Yes and 29% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 35 points. A week ago, Yes by 36 points.
Who holds it
55 wallets hold a position worth $8.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is 3648393489047, with $1.9K on it, $313K lifetime loss over 658 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is wowbagger-prefect, with $190 on it, $2.2K lifetime loss over 80 markets (34% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on Yes; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1 on No.
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $7.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Snipers
- 1 · $0
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $340
- Holders' win rate
- 36%
- Snipers
- 1 · $1
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$7.7K on it
- 1364839348904759% won of 658$1.9K−$313K lifetime
- 2Matzemichel50% won of 4$1.6K+$1.4K lifetime
- 3knrad62% won of 1,121 · whale$1.1K+$40K lifetime
- 4StarMaster54% won of 944 · whale$984+$98K lifetime
- 5balthazar53% won of 52,842 · whale$573+$1.2M lifetime
No$340 on it
- 1wowbagger-prefect34% won of 80$190−$2.2K lifetime
- 2Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$31−$485K lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,970 · noise$31+$28K lifetime
- 4hochnaesigezicke65% won of 414 · balanced$16+$10.0K lifetime
- 5donthackme29% won of 87,178 · noise$13+$829K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?"?
55 wallets hold a position worth $8.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is 3648393489047, with $1.9K on it, $313K lifetime loss over 658 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is wowbagger-prefect, with $190 on it, $2.2K lifetime loss over 80 markets (34% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $37K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 21, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
66% of the money on Yes and 29% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 35 points. A week ago, Yes by 36 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on September 21, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.