Who's betting on “Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 60% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 21 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $25K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.7K by 70 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 39% 37 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 60% 33 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
39% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 21 points. A week ago, No by 20 points.
Who holds it
70 wallets hold a position worth $2.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is NoPeeking, with $53 on it, $18K lifetime loss over 201 markets (35% won). The largest No holder is ImJustKen, with $497 on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won).
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $286
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $2.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$286 on it
- 1NoPeeking35% won of 201$53−$18K lifetime
- 2Mars4752% won of 102 · balanced$53+$168 lifetime
- 3thecaricature44% won of 717$43−$7.9K lifetime
- 40x80f85E19D25b0F997C44Eb1F0551eadF68357448-176342040697664% won of 115$42−$11K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,511 · noise$27+$254K lifetime
No$2.4K on it
- 1ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$497+$2.3M lifetime
- 2Krass86% won of 201 · balanced$483+$14K lifetime
- 3macrosteaks64% won of 2,637$385−$8.2K lifetime
- 4SkillzThatKillz65% won of 200 · whale$324+$5.9K lifetime
- 50xc33A02947Eb21Fc4A179D28f7C71AA1826AcCc98-176780611694289% won of 610$291−$408 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?"?
70 wallets hold a position worth $2.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is NoPeeking, with $53 on it, $18K lifetime loss over 201 markets (35% won). The largest No holder is ImJustKen, with $497 on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
39% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 21 points. A week ago, No by 20 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.