Who's betting on “Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 81% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 21 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.3K by 50 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 60% 24 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 81% 26 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 86¢ and No at 14¢, an 86% implied chance of Yes. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
60% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 21 points. A day ago it was split.
Who holds it
50 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is xcaiox, with $272 on it, $13K lifetime profit over 254 markets (84% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $67 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,246 markets (40% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $272 on Yes.
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
- Snipers
- 1 · $272
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $186
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.1K on it
- 1xcaiox84% won of 254 · sniper$272+$13K lifetime
- 2Musk571% won of 664$227−$6.9K lifetime
- 3BeginnersLuck298% won of 1,537 · whale$172+$32K lifetime
- 4willsom72% won of 236 · whale$123+$47K lifetime
- 5bancomaster49% won of 220$89−$9.7K lifetime
No$186 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,246 · noise$67+$255K lifetime
- 2vesselmaster77% won of 329 · balanced$43+$1.6K lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,856 · noise$19+$27K lifetime
- 40x300f…d36661% won of 590$12−$321 lifetime
- 50x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-178211120799855% won of 2,186 · balanced$7+$2.1K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?"?
50 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is xcaiox, with $272 on it, $13K lifetime profit over 254 markets (84% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $67 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,246 markets (40% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 86¢ and No at 14¢, an 86% implied chance of Yes. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
60% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 21 points. A day ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.