Who's betting on “Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $30K traded all time
- Held now
- $12K by 96 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 57% 42 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 43 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 36¢ and No at 64¢, a 64% implied chance of No. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 16, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
96 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 85 of them. The largest Yes holder is atlasf, with $1.1K on it, $1.2K lifetime profit over 9 markets (78% won). The largest No holder is w3b, with $1.7K on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 30 markets (57% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $82 on Yes.
- Holders
- 51
- Money on it
- $7.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 1 · $82
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $4.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$7.8K on it
- 1atlasf78% won of 9$1.1K+$1.2K lifetime
- 20x74ab…0666no record yet$1.0K
- 3anoin12359% won of 1,771$766−$4.7M lifetime
- 40xA00E9762a1f9a9eD90cD9eB2e8C3E917727Ea473-177943467373167% won of 3$763+$169 lifetime
- 50x511BA51eA7864c03d532AbABB5aA7D9880033660-1768508349748no record yet$700+$0 lifetime
No$4.2K on it
- 1w3b57% won of 30 · noise$1.7K+$4.5K lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 60,779$439−$381K lifetime
- 3rocky4201850% won of 898$253−$26K lifetime
- 4HerrieDavis63% won of 2,847 · whale$201+$329K lifetime
- 50x867a…84a1no record yet$187
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Ljubljana Mayoral Election Winner
9 more- Zoran Janković$38K vol.Yes 63%No 38%Too little scored money to compare
- Aleksandar Repić$20K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Klemen Boštjančič$16K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Anton Rop$16K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- Aleš Primc$15K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Aleš Vrhovec$14K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Gregor Novak$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Jasmin Feratović$11K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Mihael Jarc$11K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?"?
96 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 85 of them. The largest Yes holder is atlasf, with $1.1K on it, $1.2K lifetime profit over 9 markets (78% won). The largest No holder is w3b, with $1.7K on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 30 markets (57% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 36¢ and No at 64¢, a 64% implied chance of No. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 16, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 16, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.